Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ed0aa09c8b9e073494bcc27e293336f75a614a2ad8c033634f4fa2821d24bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,595$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.62 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 11c | 503.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 3c | 413.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 66c | 383.62$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.03 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee24…bd15backed Yes | 32c | 328.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.56 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 63c | 316.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 39c | 257.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 45c | 228.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 63c | 204.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Yes | 66c | 178.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 64c | 175.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 67c | 161.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 36c | 150.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked Yes | 53c | 149.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 31c | 138.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…42f0backed Yes | 62c | 113.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 63c | 112.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 62c | 102.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…5a44backed Yes | 34c | 97.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…a43cbacked No | 40c | 94.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 38c | 87.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed No | 23c | 86.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 44c | 83.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 30c | 80.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 69.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Yes | 33c | 67.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked No | 74c | 62.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe9…6e7cbacked Yes | 51c | 61.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 33c | 61.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…af40backed Yes | 41c | 60.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…5b01backed No | 68c | 59.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…c377backed No | 27c | 59.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked No | 70c | 57.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cb…a5a8backed Yes | 40c | 56.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 63c | 54.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 63c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…3de8backed No | 36c | 54.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 685 | 21.5%147 W · 538 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 35c | 50.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 69c | 50.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…a93bbacked Yes | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 234 | 36.3%85 W · 149 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 63c | 49.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…724fbacked No | 66c | 49.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 67c | 40.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…7429backed Yes | 37c | 40.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…c1fbbacked Yes | 37c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 67c | 38.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…6063backed No | 44c | 38.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 64c | 37.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 60c | 36.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 35.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…3f43backed No | 65c | 34.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 43c | 34.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 40c | 33.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 68c | 32.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 56c | 32.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 53c | 30.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb910…11e1backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 61c | 29.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…3e28backed No | 70c | 28.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 40c | 25.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…5b49backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca30…7eb2backed No | 63c | 25.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 64c | 24.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 68c | 23.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 67c | 23.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 66c | 23.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…ebdcbacked No | 70c | 22.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 64 | 81.3%52 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 70c | 20.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 69c | 20.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…a655backed No | 64c | 20.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…ab98backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…c73bbacked Yes | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…914bbacked Yes | 53c | 18.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…7347backed No | 68c | 15.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 75cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.