Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a8368c89c01383603cd464fe2be0c9859c6b1ea66be7db97e76e710f8ad37f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4d1…1733backed Yes | 0c | 32,940$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 40c | 413.76$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 354.45$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.47 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 53c | 215.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 199.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 182.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 41c | 169.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 27c | 168.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 63c | 157.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 27c | 146.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 62c | 145.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 139.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 54c | 126.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…b0f2backed Yes | 11c | 124.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 72c | 118.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 117.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 42c | 114$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…a43cbacked No | 37c | 112.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed No | 56c | 107.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 56c | 98.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed No | 46c | 95.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed Yes | 70c | 95.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 54c | 90.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cb…a5a8backed Yes | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 45c | 84.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 55c | 73.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 62c | 72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 56c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 59c | 66.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 44c | 66.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed No | 78c | 63.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…4e32backed No | 50c | 59.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 26c | 59.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 50c | 59.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 56c | 59.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…af40backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 37c | 53.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 38c | 52.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 38c | 51.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…5bc2backed Yes | 60c | 50.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb82…291cbacked No | 53c | 48.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +130%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 47.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 46.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 40c | 44.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 49c | 43.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9576…8548backed Yes | 45c | 42.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Yes | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…2c8fbacked Yes | 51c | 39.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 57c | 38.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c7…e7fdbacked Yes | 54c | 36.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…8e21backed Yes | 69c | 31.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 47c | 30.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…ace0backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 29.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 40c | 29.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 36c | 29.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 51c | 27.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed Yes | 39c | 26.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 59c | 26.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 60c | 26.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 197 | 64.5%127 W · 70 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…f420backed Yes | 47c | 25.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 56c | 24.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…4edcbacked No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 45c | 23.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 51c | 23.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…8ad5backed Yes | 67c | 22.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 65c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…5a44backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…fae8backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 54c | 19.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 64c | 16.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 63c | 16.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 69°F or below on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 88°F or higher on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.