TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,956 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over57c50,525$29,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,513.932560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c33,235$14,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,807.6132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c18,108$7,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,849.791,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over39c7,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,279.9818923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over49c5,767$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,956.952634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under51c4,021$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.74146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under62c1,759$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.493243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under56c1,725$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.2610650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under50c1,432$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.861330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under50c1,119$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.1214936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over50c998.3$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.336924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under51c931.24$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.93825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c923.27$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.6232854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4596666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over59c826.61$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.917147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over41c730$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.73348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under51c708.35$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2142347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over33c666$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.222763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c650.91$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.9638547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Under50c650.34$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c585.99$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4239354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under45c555.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.784641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over53c554.28$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.8121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over45c538.04$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.082330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over47c513.44$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.419937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over49c507$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5711349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over49c497.97$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.689154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under60c445.43$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.866155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over42c402.42$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.43141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over49c397.61$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.782161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under49c352.47$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.711241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1535269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under63c292.84$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.831560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over45c283.5$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over40c243.72$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.351136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc66b…1435backed Under53c238.74$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.331435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over51c227.92$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.684847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under56c226.01$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.572347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee54…e5febacked Over43c215.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under53c202.34$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8922237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed Under51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.884553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c193.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over62c180$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.42458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over46c168.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Over61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over50c140.65$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.337254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over47c140.33$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.987740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under54c139.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3313146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked Under50c132.89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.771952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c126.88$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5946047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x483a…4fd0backed Over52c121.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40b…3914backed Over45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over56c105.61$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.474365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under43c105.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.414751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa655…b10cbacked Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under51c98.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.478644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under11c98.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.193119.4%6 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Under51c97.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over45c96.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1926747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed Under51c90.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.361855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over58c85.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.91966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe78…64f1backed Under59c83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over60c77.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.061070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under64c76.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.911553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick71cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x939d…2b94backed Under64c76.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under46c74.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3816340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc67b…b024backed Under62c74.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over41c72.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.671050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over42c71.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.39825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over45c70.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3913142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over51c69.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.984158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x758e…ad1cbacked Under56c68.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under66c66.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.098856.8%50 W · 38 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0de…5c73backed Over49c65.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over50c65.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.755354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over45c64.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x834f…266ebacked Under51c60.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.721330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under53c60.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over49c59.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.529257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b43…0f61backed Under44c57.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445c…c4f1backed Under51c56.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under53c56.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.131258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under46c56.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.842744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Over52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64e4…4b21backed Over54c55.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.42966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under20c52.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.49933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.