Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaabcbc9148320498607d39708e5b7591d0279fc48fd2c26c840dff91d11b32d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atalanta BCof Atalanta BC, US Lecce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x606f…b043backed US Lecce | 66c | 631.24$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.19 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Atalanta BC | 34c | 564.94$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.86 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…8815backed US Lecce | 73c | 436.43$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Atalanta BC | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Atalanta BC | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed US Lecce | 70c | 202.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed US Lecce | 70c | 200.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Atalanta BC | 34c | 199.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed US Lecce | 58c | 173.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked US Lecce | 66c | 148.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked US Lecce | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Atalanta BC | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Atalanta BC | 34c | 70.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Atalanta BC | 26c | 63.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed US Lecce | 67c | 52.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…1002backed Atalanta BC | 34c | 51.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Atalanta BC | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked US Lecce | 66c | 41.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Atalanta BC | 35c | 41.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked US Lecce | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed US Lecce | 70c | 26.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked US Lecce | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed US Lecce | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…c3b5backed US Lecce | 74c | 14.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.