Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1339831b542aaf691d8f5d46f3cc1a2962b51c901ec5259d8be38c9466fd3b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 23c | 11,213$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.51 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 79c | 6,580$5,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.43 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Under | 3c | 5,596$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Over | 77c | 2,600$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 24c | 2,098$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 76c | 1,959$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.25 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 17c | 788.62$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.35 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 67c | 740$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 77c | 738.22$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 23c | 491.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 17c | 387.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 24c | 270.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 263.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 77c | 256.26$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 25c | 256.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 249.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Over | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 79c | 98.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Over | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 79c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 20.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7518backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.