Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5976a9ebf0fb01da61cf24fcc0a0deaeb18cedcf1172f7f201804c174d8ac52d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 59c | 498.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.42 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 484.4$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.89 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 23c | 464.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked No | 77c | 457.28$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 428.7$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.56 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…9713backed Yes | 51c | 323.71$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed No | 51c | 262.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 215.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 46c | 188.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 37c | 117.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 107$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 49c | 101.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Yes | 49c | 100.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…9694backed No | 78c | 77.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Yes | 53c | 54.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 49c | 49.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 49c | 43.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 51c | 39.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 53c | 34.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 32.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Yes | 54c | 29.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 46c | 28.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…17dfbacked No | 51c | 22.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.