TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego Padresof Colorado Rockies, San Diego Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Colorado Rockies38c23,898$9,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,126.331,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres61c19,918$12,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,767.8798149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres69c17,144$11,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,265.3610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked San Diego Padres66c15,333$10,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,192.0121656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Colorado Rockies40c15,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked San Diego Padres62c14,135$8,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,424.431,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Colorado Rockies40c13,162$5,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,217.941,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Colorado Rockies39c9,676$3,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,772.151,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Colorado Rockies37c5,340$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.775747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked San Diego Padres62c5,203$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.0865050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies24c3,796$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.536,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fd6…ce58backed San Diego Padres66c3,706$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.792040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked San Diego Padres60c3,216$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.251,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Colorado Rockies13c3,000$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.341,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies25c2,876$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.419,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Padres68c2,776$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.761,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Rockies30c2,750$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.632,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres73c2,643$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.551,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked San Diego Padres63c2,514$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.314344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Colorado Rockies37c2,402$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.6813349.6%66 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked San Diego Padres62c2,301$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.3433852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Colorado Rockies16c2,285$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.2430140.5%122 W · 179 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Colorado Rockies38c2,139$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.951,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed San Diego Padres65c2,039$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.791,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Colorado Rockies41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.986653%35 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Colorado Rockies7c1,941$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.411,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres66c1,643$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.7712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies38c1,591$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.415,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed San Diego Padres69c1,186$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.119666.7%64 W · 32 L+16.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Colorado Rockies20c1,067$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2360941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colorado Rockies7c1,012$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8294034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Colorado Rockies17c979.63$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.91,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Colorado Rockies40c964.24$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.610842.6%46 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Colorado Rockies11c918.39$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0226857.8%155 W · 113 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Colorado Rockies44c873.8$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.623141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Colorado Rockies29c872.88$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7470735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Colorado Rockies11c865.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.251,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies36c822.45$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.125,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Colorado Rockies2c800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121365.9%8 W · 128 L+0.6wins0.00per pick5cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres62c774.15$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.714,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Colorado Rockies29c740.13$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0155541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked San Diego Padres65c687.16$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8434452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked San Diego Padres65c684.61$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.247045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed San Diego Padres65c680.38$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9639351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed San Diego Padres65c677.83$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3612656.3%71 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c6…b115backed San Diego Padres65c670.24$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.642050%10 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cbe…c2f3backed San Diego Padres61c648.68$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.22128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-50.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Colorado Rockies38c633.42$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.720848.1%100 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked San Diego Padres61c620.88$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.1417768.9%122 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Colorado Rockies31c618.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.723375.8%25 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+38.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies38c600.01$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.726,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed San Diego Padres62c570.11$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6427451.8%142 W · 132 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked San Diego Padres58c552.95$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.2418239.6%72 W · 110 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked San Diego Padres63c542.68$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.791,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres66c534.38$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.076,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies22c528.57$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.058,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Colorado Rockies20c500.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.121,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed San Diego Padres77c500.02$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0150860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Colorado Rockies39c499.98$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9985952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed San Diego Padres62c492$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe474…5bedbacked San Diego Padres64c469.92$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed San Diego Padres64c466.3$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.251,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Colorado Rockies25c465.39$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.71,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked San Diego Padres66c458.43$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5541847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Colorado Rockies27c436.38$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.822466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed San Diego Padres64c427.19$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1725349.4%125 W · 128 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e13…c506backed Colorado Rockies17c424.66$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.195253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc45a…5a3ebacked Colorado Rockies21c405.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.038542.4%36 W · 49 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Colorado Rockies39c399.96$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9922851.3%117 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed San Diego Padres63c392.58$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.251,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Colorado Rockies33c388.04$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.986523.1%15 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies20c377.54$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.981,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0919…a292backed Colorado Rockies35c348.89$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Colorado Rockies22c341.66$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6422948.5%111 W · 118 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed San Diego Padres62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5830844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Colorado Rockies38c317.72$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.744548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed San Diego Padres64c312.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5894648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed San Diego Padres60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8200…8444backed Colorado Rockies5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154820.8%10 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Colorado Rockies32c299.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9220443.1%88 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Colorado Rockies36c299.04$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.589837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked San Diego Padres71c297.65$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.834858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked San Diego Padres61c292.98$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2641152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed San Diego Padres68c287.89$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5116351.5%84 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado Rockies13c287.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4178146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed San Diego Padres61c286.56$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6636649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed San Diego Padres60c283$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.23158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Colorado Rockies14c280.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Rockies15c280$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4285235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed San Diego Padres71c270.8$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0765651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked San Diego Padres61c267.76$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3317448.9%85 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed San Diego Padres61c260.16$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4666448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55af…6a1bbacked Colorado Rockies38c250.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1236345.7%166 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dcf…75b9backed Colorado Rockies40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked San Diego Padres71c221.94$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0718345.4%83 W · 100 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked San Diego Padres64c217.02$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4140146.1%185 W · 216 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b89…0d9cbacked Colorado Rockies22c210.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.35226.9%14 W · 38 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies39c210$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.91,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Colorado Rockies27c203.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c1b…5afdbacked San Diego Padres68c201.93$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.