South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7431a22f4f7c361bfd7b2bfb5386caae13d84acf849a69cdfa39756277ebeeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,927 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9948…47e7backed Yes | 14c | 5,058$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 17c | 2,059$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 17c | 928.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.52 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…eb8ebacked Yes | 26c | 851.27$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…335dbacked No | 74c | 851.27$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 18c | 649.06$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 17c | 340.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b19…c271backed Yes | 26c | 326$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc2…df9ebacked No | 74c | 326$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 161.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 20c | 161$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 159.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…e7c0backed Yes | 26c | 141.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…b584backed No | 74c | 141.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed No | 80c | 80.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…9476backed No | 80c | 75.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 14.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.