NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cab35b8a2b8dd3693300bc753fd174914838f7525ce36cadee968fbe0956579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,614 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa729…9326backed Under | 44c | 71,200$31,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,328 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Over | 56c | 68,243$38,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,026.97 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 54c | 42,577$22,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,585.37 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 53c | 19,023$10,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,969.62 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 15,635$7,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,243.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 14,321$6,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,443.65 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 9,719$4,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,658.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 51c | 9,674$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.15 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 53c | 8,992$4,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186.34 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 46c | 7,048$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.08 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 6,637$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.39 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 46c | 5,982$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.91 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 5,941$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.27 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…0232backed Over | 53c | 5,682$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…ed4bbacked Under | 47c | 5,682$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 46c | 4,968$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.28 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab39…627ebacked Under | 46c | 4,731$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 4,621$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…9d83backed Under | 46c | 4,557$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.97 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 2,633$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.21 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Under | 46c | 2,390$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.18 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…65e7backed Under | 46c | 2,366$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…efccbacked Under | 46c | 2,366$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Under | 48c | 2,154$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.84 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 53c | 1,991$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.49 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…bbb9backed Over | 56c | 1,957$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 1,803$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.67 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Under | 46c | 1,772$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 1,726$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.31 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 55c | 1,613$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.81 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,388$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.41 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,325$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 1,317$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.34 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 53c | 1,267$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.95 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 46c | 1,185$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 1,065$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.21 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 46c | 1,065$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.7 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 686.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.62 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 47c | 598.19$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.45 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Under | 48c | 470$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 52c | 470$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 460$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.16 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 398$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.06 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Under | 47c | 328$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 53c | 284.66$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.79 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Over | 54c | 226.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 46c | 221.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 217.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 188.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Over | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Over | 56c | 177.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 52c | 151$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…9c0dbacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…4da2backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Under | 46c | 143.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 137.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 54c | 124.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…180cbacked Over | 55c | 116.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 48c | 115.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 47c | 103.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 45c | 99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Under | 47c | 96.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 92.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb896…ac39backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed Over | 53c | 92.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Over | 56c | 89.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 55c | 71.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 54c | 70.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 66.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…9d69backed Under | 46c | 65.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…ebf9backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…118fbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…e420backed Over | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 51c | 62.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 47c | 60.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Over | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 53.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Thunder (-24.5)Wizards won
- Thunder vs. WizardsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.