NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-20.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0b1cf8fdc62f919cd854bc3f8bcbb3bea0b3f5f7ac63e9c3bc101b1d6d95ca9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,435 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 47c | 30,810$14,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,504.73 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 52c | 15,080$7,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,279.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 53c | 13,610$7,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,396.78 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 53c | 7,473$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 50c | 6,934$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 49c | 6,378$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.18 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ceb8backed Wizards | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc69…80c5backed Thunder | 51c | 4,577$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…295ebacked Thunder | 51c | 4,202$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd199…6e2ebacked Thunder | 51c | 3,208$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…6c18backed Thunder | 51c | 3,131$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…3ae2backed Thunder | 52c | 2,456$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Thunder | 52c | 2,445$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.71 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…7befbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,414$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…1285backed Wizards | 49c | 2,235$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd191…06dfbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,140$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…f832backed Wizards | 48c | 2,133$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…40b6backed Wizards | 48c | 2,130$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…d638backed Wizards | 49c | 2,055$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d8…41a2backed Wizards | 49c | 2,012$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Wizards | 50c | 2,000$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.71 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1938…c619backed Thunder | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…d8bbbacked Wizards | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa814…8d46backed Thunder | 52c | 1,977$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…5958backed Wizards | 49c | 1,811$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…5319backed Thunder | 52c | 1,752$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Wizards | 49c | 1,684$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.98 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards | 48c | 1,671$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.13 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…2dbcbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,639$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…ae3dbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,625$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4479…0e06backed Wizards | 48c | 1,566$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…8c17backed Thunder | 51c | 1,510$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…bd71backed Thunder | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4746…98f9backed Thunder | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…0f28backed Thunder | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 53c | 1,450$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed Wizards | 60c | 1,340$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…9bf8backed Wizards | 49c | 1,212$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wizards | 48c | 970.87$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.61 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 47c | 903.7$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.33 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Thunder | 52c | 724.04$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.54 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Thunder | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Thunder | 51c | 517.98$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.81 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Thunder | 51c | 515.65$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.67 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Wizards | 49c | 498.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.25 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Thunder | 51c | 423.91$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.42 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Wizards | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Thunder | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Wizards | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Wizards | 48c | 373.18$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.73 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Thunder | 51c | 352.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.9 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Wizards | 25c | 326.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Wizards | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a0…e1b8backed Thunder | 49c | 287.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Thunder | 71c | 281.04$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…2772backed Wizards | 49c | 275$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…dc0bbacked Wizards | 49c | 265$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…24b2backed Wizards | 49c | 255$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Wizards | 63c | 251.49$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2d…4b5dbacked Wizards | 49c | 245$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…a15abacked Wizards | 49c | 235$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8f…4bedbacked Wizards | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…fa0dbacked Wizards | 49c | 215$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Thunder | 51c | 214.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Wizards | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…ad3dbacked Wizards | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…52ebbacked Wizards | 49c | 195$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Thunder | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…ed4bbacked Wizards | 49c | 185$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Thunder | 54c | 184.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Wizards | 48c | 175.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…0febbacked Wizards | 49c | 175$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…7655backed Wizards | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…0232backed Wizards | 49c | 165$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971b…6f63backed Wizards | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9903…046fbacked Wizards | 50c | 159$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 65c | 152.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 49c | 150.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Thunder | 51c | 139.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…a593backed Thunder | 52c | 133$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Thunder | 51c | 131.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…0741backed Thunder | 52c | 131$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…610ebacked Wizards | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 51c | 121$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Thunder | 52c | 120.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…ff14backed Wizards | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Wizards | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Wizards | 58c | 104.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Thunder | 54c | 96.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 49c | 94.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 46c | 90.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Thunder | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Wizards | 46c | 87.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 46c | 79.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 45c | 78.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Wizards | 66c | 75.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Thunder (-24.5)Wizards won
- Thunder vs. WizardsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.