Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44172e78bea150d93ccfff87f99ba88d0186c9dcb044b178988624083833047a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 47c | 2,329$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.13 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 62c | 1,881$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.68 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 51c | 1,552$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.55 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 49c | 1,165$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.54 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 1,100$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.23 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 47c | 1,031$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.83 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.3 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 67c | 732.62$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.45 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 703.17$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.15 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 38c | 622.54$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.18 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…533fbacked No | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 32c | 398$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…de6fbacked Yes | 30c | 390.77$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 331.71$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.11 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Yes | 66c | 300.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 28c | 300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 19c | 291.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.9 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 29c | 254.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 199.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 44c | 191$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes | 30c | 170.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.54 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 58c | 157.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 20c | 138$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 15c | 130$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 43c | 113.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 45c | 112$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 112$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 26c | 106$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 59c | 104$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 35c | 94.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 59c | 94.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 33c | 94.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 61c | 84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 66c | 61.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa0…06d3backed Yes | 31c | 61.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 21c | 61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…c45bbacked Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb371…472abacked Yes | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 41c | 54.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 20c | 50.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 57c | 45.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 64c | 39.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yes | 31c | 36.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 53c | 33.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 51c | 30.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 35c | 29.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 79c | 20.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 69c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 68c | 18.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.