TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians57c69,316$39,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,805.951,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies43c34,476$14,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,837.110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Colorado Rockies43c23,000$9,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,89027452.6%144 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Colorado Rockies19c12,980$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.2643554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies43c9,499$4,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.611,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians58c7,485$4,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.574,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Colorado Rockies46c6,186$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.7218248.4%88 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians71c5,897$4,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.388,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Colorado Rockies43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72012939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies43c2,684$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.225,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Colorado Rockies44c2,245$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.981,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Colorado Rockies44c2,199$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.7114841.2%61 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Cleveland Guardians57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians56c1,751$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.626,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians57c1,578$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.821,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cleveland Guardians73c1,511$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9124252.9%128 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Colorado Rockies5c1,476$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9725447.6%121 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians73c1,377$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1895045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Colorado Rockies43c999.91$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9619534.4%67 W · 128 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Cleveland Guardians77c999$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.771,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Colorado Rockies46c994.95$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.822,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Colorado Rockies43c943$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.496043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians58c903.43$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3289153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa048…f2b5backed Colorado Rockies17c882.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+123.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Cleveland Guardians68c813.06$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8648660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies35c740.49$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.139,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies42c665.1$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.343,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Colorado Rockies14c642.24$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4661346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed Colorado Rockies20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014643.2%63 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Cleveland Guardians56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Colorado Rockies44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19839846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Colorado Rockies23c441.81$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8734952.7%184 W · 165 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Cleveland Guardians54c429.52$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.586764.2%43 W · 24 L+10.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Colorado Rockies47c411$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1730834.1%105 W · 203 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Cleveland Guardians53c407.21$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3912759.1%75 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Cleveland Guardians56c378.85$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8525351.8%131 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians75c360$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.15,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Cleveland Guardians57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.884551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Cleveland Guardians57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.887860.3%47 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c16…e71abacked Colorado Rockies43c350$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.54337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Colorado Rockies6c346.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5215340.5%62 W · 91 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cleveland Guardians57c330$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.151,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Colorado Rockies20c293.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6658746%270 W · 317 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Colorado Rockies8c290.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2521955.3%121 W · 98 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Colorado Rockies43c257.26$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2858352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb34c…449cbacked Colorado Rockies8c236.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+400%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Colorado Rockies43c234$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6291749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Colorado Rockies45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Cleveland Guardians57c220.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.038149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Rockies29c203.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.894,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x546b…1582backed Cleveland Guardians54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Cleveland Guardians56c186.47$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1211346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Cleveland Guardians57c180.06$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4327454.4%149 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Cleveland Guardians55c178.18$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1810465.4%68 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe055…3157backed Cleveland Guardians57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10c2…b137backed Cleveland Guardians57c173.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.934660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Colorado Rockies22c173.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.581,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed Cleveland Guardians58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417655.3%42 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Colorado Rockies44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5735…9f18backed Cleveland Guardians57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.54573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Colorado Rockies36c149.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.592046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians78c143.11$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.252,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Colorado Rockies44c132$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0879543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Cleveland Guardians69c125.05$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.260348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Colorado Rockies44c121$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.247847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Colorado Rockies27c115.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2952638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Colorado Rockies46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463941%16 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians61c99.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Colorado Rockies34c98.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.677952.1%406 W · 373 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies43c97.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.844,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Colorado Rockies26c95.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6444058.9%259 W · 181 L+29.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Cleveland Guardians57c95.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.996347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Cleveland Guardians58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2113344.4%59 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Cleveland Guardians58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2115147.7%72 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Cleveland Guardians58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2111441.2%47 W · 67 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Cleveland Guardians58c86.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1918742.8%80 W · 107 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Colorado Rockies43c78.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.961,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5c…e316backed Colorado Rockies45c74.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7513240.2%53 W · 79 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Colorado Rockies24c73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.321,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Cleveland Guardians66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.680159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf8…27cfbacked Colorado Rockies44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb417…437fbacked Colorado Rockies44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Colorado Rockies44c67.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5888147.8%421 W · 460 L+4.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Cleveland Guardians75c66.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.461,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Cleveland Guardians74c66.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0879955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd32f…4f71backed Cleveland Guardians57c63.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.162972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Colorado Rockies43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.878754.6%430 W · 357 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cleveland Guardians57c56.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.512,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a48…9e7bbacked Cleveland Guardians57c55.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8118848.9%92 W · 96 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3fb…ffbcbacked Colorado Rockies40c53.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.677270.8%51 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77c9…f4dabacked Colorado Rockies27c51.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.821656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Cleveland Guardians54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.381257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Cleveland Guardians74c45.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.746949.9%234 W · 235 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Cleveland Guardians55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2514544.8%65 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6b6…f6dfbacked Colorado Rockies45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2528640.9%117 W · 169 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82e2…ec75backed Colorado Rockies45c44.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9812249.2%60 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Cleveland Guardians58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.158649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1b…c38fbacked Colorado Rockies48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Cleveland Guardians75c41.42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2912029.2%35 W · 85 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x270a…1420backed Colorado Rockies27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.