MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3be37f3f6d2e5b25636d3bd3bd122e89c50e09b3e17a35718dcad41b8f4dc1f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Minnesota Twins, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 151,157$86,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,997.51 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 60,696$26,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,153.57 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,499.92 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 22,870$11,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,992.33 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 21,929$6,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,620.35 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 17,589$5,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,795.74 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 16,557$7,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,119.51 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 15,805$10,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,923.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 4c | 13,812$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,271.93 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 13,800$5,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,934 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 11,455$7,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.13 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 10,805$4,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,538.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 8,009$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.29 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 7,184$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.48 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 6,665$4,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,796.62 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Minnesota Twins | 0c | 6,515$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 6,160$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.75 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 5,466$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.68 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Diego Padres | 26c | 4,513$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.72 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 4,403$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.94 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 4,153$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.28 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 4,100$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.86 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 3,341$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.74 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 3,341$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.74 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 3,270$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 3,256$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 3,182$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 3,044$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.93 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 2,888$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.89 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 2,773$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.32 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,661$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.31 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,232$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.94 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,083$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.69 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Minnesota Twins | 1c | 1,650$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,631$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.72 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 1,454$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.51 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 1,349$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 1,251$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,204$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.48 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,077$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.01 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,059$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.35 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…5ef0backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,008$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 971$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.24 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 850.03$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 735.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.52 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 699$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.59 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 666$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 634.2$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.02 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 519.3$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.7 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 518.14$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 508.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.43 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Minnesota Twins | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 446.27$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.13 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked San Diego Padres | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Minnesota Twins | 68c | 438$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.79 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 421.59$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.01 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…449cbacked San Diego Padres | 5c | 378.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +400%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 365.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 363.49$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 359.46$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 354.15$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 343.24$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked San Diego Padres | 15c | 307$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.38 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 302$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 291.74$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 287.38$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…7205backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 270$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 252.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b28…bf9fbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 251.17$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 250.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 234.63$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 232.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 224.17$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 224$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 219.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 215.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 212$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 210$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Minnesota Twins | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 203$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 201.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Minnesota Twins | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…e944backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 193.65$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.