TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF M25 Taipei Men: Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Matthew Dellavedova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yu Hsiou Hsuof Yu Hsiou Hsu, Matthew Dellavedova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Matthew Dellavedova21c21,475$4,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,591.1211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Yu Hsiou Hsu80c17,589$14,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,581.91,72350.1%863 W · 860 L+29.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb34c…449cbacked Matthew Dellavedova0c12,260$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.26616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Matthew Dellavedova15c1,664$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8859721.8%130 W · 467 L+2.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Matthew Dellavedova17c1,499$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matthew Dellavedova19c1,011$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.378,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked Yu Hsiou Hsu70c857.14$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1410563.8%67 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Yu Hsiou Hsu78c715.58$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.581,78548.7%869 W · 916 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Matthew Dellavedova16c668.29$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.933,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yu Hsiou Hsu68c549.71$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.42,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yu Hsiou Hsu72c546.86$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.377,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Matthew Dellavedova18c497.7$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3710543.8%46 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Matthew Dellavedova25c441.39$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.571,31439%512 W · 802 L-23.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yu Hsiou Hsu69c434.38$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.232,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Matthew Dellavedova23c369.61$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7679238.3%303 W · 489 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Yu Hsiou Hsu71c280.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.831355.3%173 W · 140 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Matthew Dellavedova20c250$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0890435.7%323 W · 581 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Yu Hsiou Hsu70c216.69$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.343,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Matthew Dellavedova19c208.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8665437.5%245 W · 409 L-33.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Matthew Dellavedova21c153.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.946,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e69…7a30backed Yu Hsiou Hsu79c152.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.534872.9%35 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Matthew Dellavedova28c145.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1856926%148 W · 421 L-23.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Matthew Dellavedova19c111.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.551,87853.2%1,000 W · 878 L+30.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Matthew Dellavedova33c102.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.82,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yu Hsiou Hsu69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4529955.2%165 W · 134 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Yu Hsiou Hsu71c84.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4882657.1%472 W · 354 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e61…2f1bbacked Yu Hsiou Hsu70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4329148.5%141 W · 150 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Yu Hsiou Hsu72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4496255.8%537 W · 425 L+21.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Yu Hsiou Hsu72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441,00049.8%498 W · 502 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bcd…c00fbacked Yu Hsiou Hsu72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4416054.4%87 W · 73 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Yu Hsiou Hsu76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7989754.6%490 W · 407 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Yu Hsiou Hsu76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7995655.9%534 W · 422 L+19.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbb…83fcbacked Matthew Dellavedova19c53.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Yu Hsiou Hsu72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6796755%532 W · 435 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Yu Hsiou Hsu72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6753356.7%302 W · 231 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58cc…6415backed Yu Hsiou Hsu67c32.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8412352%64 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Yu Hsiou Hsu67c32.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.659351.6%48 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ad…5097backed Yu Hsiou Hsu77c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6928168.7%193 W · 88 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Yu Hsiou Hsu68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061,03654.2%562 W · 474 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.