Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c590561f656bb78c3e4a3958ba30773b361035eee077f66f184d5603955ea2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 18c | 7,510$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.91 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 60c | 5,633$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.2 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 40c | 5,488$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.66 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 51c | 3,921$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.13 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 33c | 3,447$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.82 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 76c | 3,371$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.14 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…abd3backed Yes | 5c | 1,291$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 35c | 1,130$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.77 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 20c | 883.59$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.57 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 59c | 836.55$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.32 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 66c | 800$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd683…3c0cbacked Yes | 38c | 730$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 35c | 697.98$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.83 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 59c | 639$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.92 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 79c | 631.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 58c | 622.77$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.56 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 574.47$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.07 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 17c | 564.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.7 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 64c | 545$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…12dabacked Yes | 37c | 530$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 508.53$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 71c | 429.07$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 250 | 30.8%77 W · 173 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 54c | 409.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 29c | 391.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.45 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 11c | 380$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.2 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…f203backed No | 56c | 362.42$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaabf…afd2backed No | 58c | 362.02$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 60c | 333.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.27 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 22c | 332.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.88 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 14c | 311.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.34 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 39c | 299.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 31c | 286$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.08 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -10.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked Yes | 71c | 285.21$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 60c | 282.73$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 29c | 280$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 61c | 279.54$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed No | 30c | 240.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 11c | 225$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 223.66$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 68c | 220$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 60c | 220$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 51c | 214.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 20c | 200$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Yes | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ee…2f52backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 14c | 198.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.12 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 41c | 192.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 66c | 190.03$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 6c | 180.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 21c | 175$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.08 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Yes | 24c | 170.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…cb46backed Yes | 40c | 157.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 24c | 145.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…719abacked No | 21c | 141$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 8c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed No | 72c | 138.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0019…6629backed Yes | 52c | 120.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 28c | 120$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 68c | 118.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 116.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 38c | 116.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…5ea2backed Yes | 58c | 114$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…f49fbacked Yes | 44c | 112.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…22bcbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 69c | 98.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5705…4652backed No | 50c | 81.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…1751backed Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed No | 61c | 72.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 34c | 68.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 60c | 62.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…289cbacked No | 28c | 58.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed Yes | 50c | 57.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0aa…3259backed No | 25c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 49c | 49.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb3…1e92backed Yes | 69c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed Yes | 29c | 47.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…8895backed Yes | 41c | 46.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…6413backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?this page
- Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.