Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3e3ee021b1c0e2afea2800684c67f09e6392131673305e1bfb1e03199b42ee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 21c | 5,041$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.59 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 44c | 2,719$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.35 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 35c | 2,209$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.21 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,942$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.7 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 41c | 999.97$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.05 | 181 | 26%47 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 12c | 874.74$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.53 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 80c | 778.75$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 11c | 683.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.88 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 39c | 599$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.76 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 37c | 582.27$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 40c | 562.15$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 75c | 550.94$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 31c | 546.77$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 509.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 54c | 500$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 35c | 499$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 66c | 424.4$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 409.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 50c | 407.24$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.15 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 69c | 331.53$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 250 | 30.8%77 W · 173 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 16c | 299.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 67c | 280$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 36c | 269.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Yes | 17c | 239$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.89 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…9a33backed No | 30c | 228.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed Yes | 44c | 224.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 66c | 218.88$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 70c | 208.56$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed No | 37c | 203.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked Yes | 30c | 199.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 32c | 199.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.11 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 64c | 193.91$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 32c | 188$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 27c | 141.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed Yes | 16c | 113$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed Yes | 57c | 110.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…22bcbacked Yes | 69c | 100.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…c82abacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 67c | 99.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 19c | 93.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 41c | 92.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 14c | 92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 23c | 87.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Yes | 55c | 82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…fdf7backed Yes | 59c | 81.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…8346backed Yes | 59c | 77.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2a…6750backed Yes | 59c | 77.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed No | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 67c | 69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 43c | 60.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 335 | 21.8%73 W · 262 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…7d42backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…f0c4backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 50c | 49.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 34c | 47.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 44c | 43.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 80c | 43.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…aa1bbacked Yes | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…c246backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 79c | 39.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 61c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 44c | 34.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked No | 49c | 34.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…6413backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…719abacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…0f6ebacked Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 80c | 28.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 59c | 28.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -10.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xffee…ea6bbacked No | 62c | 20.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 59c | 20.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?this page
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.