Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Flora vs. The New Saints FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1884acedb4cc18bb567e6f4b8a847108c3cdee6dfb5341ae62d07deec668ab26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 5,480$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.15 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 2,169$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.52 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 2,006$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.59 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 1,503$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.78 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 1,028$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.06 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 1,020$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.14 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 24c | 917.85$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.59 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 23c | 833.61$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 75c | 693.71$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 531$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 341.05$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 240.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked No | 74c | 150.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 15c | 149.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 11c | 140.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed No | 74c | 135.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 25c | 118.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 116.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 24c | 110.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 17c | 100.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed No | 74c | 94.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 63.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab5…95fabacked No | 74c | 60.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…69e3backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 27c | 49.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…cbcabacked No | 75c | 49.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 74c | 48.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 43.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Flora vs. The New Saints FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
- Will The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.