Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6f6ac510a7b59928eff187376fe777add763f96563147830148f6491d8fb738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 66c | 2,260$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.91 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 2,161$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.13 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 1,649$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.97 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 1,625$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.43 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 1,522$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.66 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 1,028$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.32 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 1,020$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 33c | 848.81$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.11 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 732.11$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 66c | 693.71$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 690.16$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.05 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 34c | 684.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.73 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 19c | 676.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 34c | 670.33$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.14 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 2c | 620$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 65c | 599.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 34c | 341$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 35c | 332.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 35c | 332.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 17c | 309.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes | 29c | 294.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 34c | 290$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 33c | 254.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 32c | 246.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 34c | 211.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 209.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 32c | 209.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 36c | 202.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 12c | 179.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 34c | 98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 67c | 94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Yes | 33c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 68c | 78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 68c | 68.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…200fbacked Yes | 39c | 53.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…cbcabacked No | 67c | 49.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 47.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 45.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 32c | 39.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 32c | 36.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 32.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 68c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 27.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x911c…87bcbacked No | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 62cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 67c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC Flora vs. The New Saints FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.