Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bohemian FC vs. FC Ballkani end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08a4b2f38d81a125ee76a8d1e30a2bafb37523704e3a357fb46170f7bd4a4c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 76c | 2,644$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 47c | 991.87$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.3 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 641.62$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.97 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 36c | 596.98$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.61 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 532.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 24c | 463.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 430.7$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 24c | 412.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 23c | 407.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 76c | 387.41$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 78c | 339.86$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 336.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 305.04$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.54 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 33c | 246.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 45c | 231.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 22c | 139.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 75c | 139.74$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 45c | 128$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 24c | 126.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 22c | 119.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 74c | 115.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 74c | 98.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 94.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 65c | 81.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 13c | 78.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 42c | 75.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 33c | 68.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…b046backed No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 34c | 66.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 71c | 66.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 68c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 49.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e53…253ebacked No | 74c | 48.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 39c | 47.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 72c | 44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 32c | 40.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 35c | 40.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 76c | 40.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 73c | 34.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 73c | 27.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bohemian FC vs. FC Ballkani end in a draw?this page
- Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
- Will FC Ballkani win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.