Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Ballkani win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf14405653dacd26390a7da17ccc11e7e6a92b5b5270433bb4d0e43623e747dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 2,717$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.4 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 2,223$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.03 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 49c | 2,046$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.73 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 1,496$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.48 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 53c | 1,192$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.24 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 15c | 638.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…9343backed Yes | 15c | 532.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 477.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 63c | 444.3$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 54c | 367.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.13 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 18c | 331.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 59c | 310$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…cf5fbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 275.19$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Yes | 15c | 272.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 21c | 228$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 47c | 210.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 16c | 203.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 17c | 200.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…4178backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 54c | 183.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 53c | 172.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Yes | 18c | 159.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 39c | 156$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 60c | 144.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 15c | 135.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 14c | 128.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 116.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 11c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 52c | 110.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…9e4bbacked Yes | 17c | 103.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 22c | 79.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5a…4063backed Yes | 48c | 61.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…cc1bbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 48c | 57.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 58c | 50.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked No | 37c | 34.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 62c | 30.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…a022backed No | 59c | 30.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…7386backed Yes | 50c | 29.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Ballkani win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will Bohemian FC vs. FC Ballkani end in a draw?No won
- Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.