Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29301937859843f3f6b724f6bd98dd879daa46928323ba6e6678b0ced85da9b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 1c | 4,630$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 3,979$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.73 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 58c | 3,282$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.19 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 2,691$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.02 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 35c | 1,724$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.57 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Yes | 34c | 1,454$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 1,419$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.71 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 61c | 990.71$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.97 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 25c | 837.86$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.4 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 776.65$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.86 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 29c | 718.95$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.3 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 65c | 510$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.31 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 35c | 469.82$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.49 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 44c | 328.02$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.84 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 71c | 234$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 207.47$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked No | 71c | 182.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 51c | 181.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 25c | 133.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 75c | 126$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…bf2dbacked Yes | 31c | 99.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 75c | 88.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 46c | 84.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 27c | 77.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 52c | 71.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 72c | 68.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 371 | 43.7%162 W · 209 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 67.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 70c | 53.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 25c | 53.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 48.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…3964backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 74c | 35.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 27.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Yes | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…8905backed Yes | 66c | 20.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3733…8810backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Déifferdeng 03 win on 2026-07-08?No won
- Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.