Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1748445bf6b2e92c46c2bdaefdb3756092344203491e98acd167d2b0109c5054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 67c | 4,477$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.86 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 31c | 4,132$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.91 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 32c | 2,521$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,924$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.87 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 33c | 1,622$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.45 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Yes | 70c | 1,430$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 34c | 999.51$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.54 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 66c | 925.65$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.72 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 27c | 921.19$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.72 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 67c | 756.15$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.19 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 13c | 599.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 41c | 499.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 3c | 414.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 68c | 408.65$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.27 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 67c | 395.41$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.42 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 72c | 305.28$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 27c | 299.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 28c | 245$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 33c | 197.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 67c | 149.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 66c | 149$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 32c | 140$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 30c | 138$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 67c | 130.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 74c | 126.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 66c | 118.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 31c | 105.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 69c | 101$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Yes | 67c | 98.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 67c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 67c | 89.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 31c | 85.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 32c | 83.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 34c | 82.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 38c | 77.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 28c | 72.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…a8abbacked Yes | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed Yes | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 28c | 49.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…d728backed No | 31c | 39.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 67c | 39.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 69c | 38.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1366…0aefbacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 70c | 29.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 75c | 22.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 70c | 21.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 20.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Yes | 65c | 19.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Yes | 66c | 18.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 70c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Yes | 70c | 14.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c1…07d5backed Yes | 76c | 13.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will Nõmme Kalju FC win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will Shelbourne FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.