Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53e766c365bdd520fa5e1619cfa2adebf6e1385a0c249f94b1ef1388a25a3ed3

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $57,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $59,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,399 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	6,290$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.81	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	14c	2,268$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,946.05	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…2036backed No	15c	2,156$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,834.88	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.57per pick	9cpaid	+820.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	40c	1,577$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$941.47	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No	22c	1,552$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,206.69	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes	79c	1,452$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,143.96	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	49c	1,442$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.86	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	19c	1,291$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,051.89	219	58%127 W · 92 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf68…20d8backed Yes	78c	999.98$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.03	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	50c	771.7$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.98	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	17c	654.77$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.83	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…fee2backed No	16c	628.63$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.40per pick	10cpaid	+214.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No	71c	626.2$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.94	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7026…28d2backed No	17c	612.59$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.31	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	78c	600$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.2	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.6wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No	20c	571.44$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.75	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Yes	79c	500$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395	142	42.3%60 W · 82 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No	13c	485.56$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.44	235	40.4%95 W · 140 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	64c	456.26$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.65	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes	10c	426.06$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.58	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	19c	370.95$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.21	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	27c	335.13$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.18	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf3…68aebacked Yes	79c	320.99$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.85	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	58cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No	30c	319.23$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223	351	36.8%129 W · 222 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4508…774bbacked Yes	60c	315.27$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	38c	311.08$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.13	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	27c	310.77$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.62	179	53.6%96 W · 83 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed No	15c	304.23$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.8	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	5cpaid	+141.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	17c	293$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.22	148	58.8%87 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda00…61b4backed No	20c	287.36$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.96	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	21c	269.4$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.58	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No	46c	267.72$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.57	335	38.8%130 W · 205 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	32c	253.81$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.7	484	38.2%185 W · 299 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf2…fc7ebacked No	27c	240.01$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.73	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+189.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ce…a061backed Yes	71c	238.53$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	39cpaid	+65%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db0…8c18backed Yes	66c	232.23$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.08	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No	39c	226.83$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.13	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No	22c	222.52$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.9	350	35.7%125 W · 225 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	15c	212.98$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.72	101	64.4%65 W · 36 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No	22c	212.06$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.62	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22fa…8135backed No	12c	200.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.44	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	21cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	39c	199$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.27	282	56.7%160 W · 122 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	22c	197.52$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.34	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	28c	195.71$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.52	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No	37c	187.39$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.1	326	39%127 W · 199 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No	29c	182.09$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.94	357	34.5%123 W · 234 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	19c	181$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.1	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No	25c	178.95$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.62	339	37.5%127 W · 212 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No	28c	178.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.34	332	37.3%124 W · 208 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5a…ec6fbacked Yes	41c	170.85$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0af8…8973backed Yes	60c	167.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	66.1%39 W · 20 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	32c	164.97$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.96	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Yes	76c	157.36$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.81	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No	20c	154.52$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.04	344	38.4%132 W · 212 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No	27c	152.59$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.73	340	35%119 W · 221 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	16c	150.67$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.58	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No	17c	150$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.05	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed No	18c	139.48$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+6.4wins	+0.12per pick	20cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No	46c	134.04$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.73	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Yes	28c	129.72$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.77	215	65.1%140 W · 75 L	+16.4wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb15…9483backed Yes	78c	127.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes	80c	125$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	107	40.2%43 W · 64 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	53c	121.47$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.93	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a69…228fbacked Yes	41c	119.51$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	79c	119.28$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.99	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be2…82fabacked Yes	70c	119.26$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.78	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No	35c	108.49$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.57	342	38.6%132 W · 210 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	47c	105.84$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.07	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	24c	103.95$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.67	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	18c	98.94$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.08	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes	77c	98.54$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.4	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Yes	77c	93$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.68	95	63.2%60 W · 35 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed No	21c	89.03$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.78	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	18c	89$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.77	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed No	19c	86.73$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.43	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes	34c	83.52$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.37	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No	24c	81.41$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.15	361	39.1%141 W · 220 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	15c	80$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.04	208	62%129 W · 79 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec76…01c4backed Yes	77c	80$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.75	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed No	16c	75$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No	18c	72.62$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.75	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes	58c	68.88$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed No	20c	68.16$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.63	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe92f…6d47backed Yes	75c	66.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe343…5b7ebacked Yes	80c	66.26$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.45	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d77…24f3backed Yes	80c	50$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.80per pick	80cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8394…8d66backed Yes	58c	49.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.89	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f3e…5337backed No	23c	45.02$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.67	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No	41c	42$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.66	182	46.2%84 W · 98 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x205f…0901backed Yes	80c	40$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.80per pick	80cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No	27c	38.79$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.37	363	35.8%130 W · 233 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked No	39c	38.65$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.49	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdec6…ca9cbacked Yes	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	71c	28.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.97	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf7…0fb8backed Yes	80c	25.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…75a2backed Yes	61c	24.76$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes	66c	22.21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	225	43.1%97 W · 128 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes	80c	20$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x896d…c130backed Yes	67c	19.34$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event