TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Argentina win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,402 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes8c5,990$474 inLost-$473.5922125.8%57 W · 164 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes18c3,656$652 inLost-$651.992,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes18c3,639$671 inLost-$670.82,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes17c3,633$600 inLost-$600.043,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes8c645.06$54 inLost-$53.531,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b51…866ebacked Yes2c600$12 inLost-$123333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes8c524.26$40 inLost-$39.7592038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x357c…7dfebacked Yes9c415.33$37 inLost-$36.623540%14 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes12c385.29$48 inLost-$47.921,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c344.91$272 inWon+$73.072,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No80c256.66$205 inWon+$51.5134238.6%132 W · 210 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa517…f23bbacked No76c242.81$185 inWon+$57.413043.3%13 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee02…ce88backed No79c210.63$166 inWon+$44.9410667%71 W · 35 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes10c201.36$20 inLost-$20.141674.2%7 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x189b…e764backed Yes17c111.63$19 inLost-$19.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed No77c38.98$30 inWon+$8.9925328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No80c29.68$24 inWon+$6.0819064.2%122 W · 68 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked No76c27.19$21 inWon+$6.4566932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed No77c26.07$20 inWon+$6.074351.2%22 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed No77c26.07$20 inWon+$6.0711329.2%33 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ae…2ff5backed No77c26.07$20 inWon+$6.073030%9 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No79c20$16 inWon+$4.2734554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.