Poker · resolved market
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x054528dc9abb4c48744b6a25e9e5c5d53a9ef3e848f8d6c0c20fd95971f82fdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Pokerevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Poker is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Poker | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 19c | 1,327$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked No | 13c | 1,023$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 17c | 979.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…4fa0backed Yes | 69c | 885.52$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 43c | 685.22$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +258.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 16c | 671.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 15c | 629.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 12c | 342$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Yes | 74c | 341$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 19c | 220$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 49c | 188$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 15c | 171.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 12c | 161.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 21c | 160$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked No | 50c | 151$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked No | 29c | 141$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…c9e8backed Yes | 76c | 132.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 15c | 127.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 14c | 111$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 13c | 99.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 14c | 81.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 14c | 81.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 14c | 81.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…3996backed No | 14c | 79.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 16c | 76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed Yes | 60c | 74.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 16c | 62.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 34c | 61.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed No | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed No | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed Yes | 62c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed No | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed No | 45c | 49.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…cd48backed No | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 58c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb76…b76ebacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…f54ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Poker and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will North America Win the WSOP Main Eventthis page
- Will Africa Win the WSOP Main EventNo won
- Will Asia Win the WSOP Main EventNo won
- Will Europe Win the WSOP Main EventNo won
- Will Oceania Win the WSOP Main EventNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.