Champions League · resolved market
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd80b04d11e45ef487c21e0dadd2698f2d1798246b97e8e4abab821ccc2ffb903
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 4,286$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.38 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 2,872$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.68 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 1,808$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.2 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 66c | 1,255$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.42 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 2c | 792.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 76c | 770$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 621.63$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.49 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 20c | 608.39$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 75c | 605.58$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 72c | 402.71$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 335.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 72c | 256$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 240.43$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 227$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 227$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 71c | 199.9$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked No | 75c | 178.96$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 25c | 139$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 70c | 95.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 35c | 89.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 67c | 87.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 83.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 71c | 78.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 68c | 68.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 71c | 66.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed No | 74c | 54.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 71c | 41.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 68c | 40.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 66c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 69c | 26.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 77c | 24.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 69c | 19.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed No | 67c | 17.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 76c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-21?this page
- Will Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-07-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.