World Politics · resolved market
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d2a3c8fa1bdb56f3145f5cdcdffa9f7b8540342e4135482d914b72db037a7a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 30c | 6,318$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.31 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec4…54f2backed Yes | 46c | 5,730$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 21c | 4,222$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.99 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…f0fdbacked No | 54c | 1,668$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Yes | 40c | 1,641$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 58c | 989.2$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.66 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf079…874dbacked No | 50c | 983.48$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8207…af57backed No | 51c | 876.2$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 69c | 622.32$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.02 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 68c | 610$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 80c | 581.53$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…f203backed Yes | 32c | 579.54$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 565.89$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 526.22$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.82 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 520$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 68c | 483.36$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.37 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…f96ebacked Yes | 34c | 477.59$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 459$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 63c | 429.79$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 76c | 369.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…495abacked No | 50c | 321.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 79c | 305$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…e8e6backed No | 76c | 299.1$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…8776backed Yes | 28c | 298.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 30c | 274.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 26c | 265$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 34c | 249.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 74c | 248.1$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 29c | 244.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 63c | 236.77$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 35c | 230.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 69c | 230$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 76c | 205$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 44c | 201.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 60c | 192.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Yes | 36c | 191.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 45c | 176$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 57c | 161.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 55c | 153.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…af37backed Yes | 27c | 152.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 75c | 146.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 70c | 145.7$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 73c | 145$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 57c | 137.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked Yes | 25c | 136.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…6222backed No | 71c | 119.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed Yes | 37c | 118.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…0113backed Yes | 25c | 117.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 71c | 110.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 73c | 104.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 103$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed Yes | 44c | 102.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…c093backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 34c | 95.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…3c50backed No | 79c | 92.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 62c | 81.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 77c | 80.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 75c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Yes | 32c | 62.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 77c | 58.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Yes | 45c | 58.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 28c | 47.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 57c | 45.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a15…d62abacked Yes | 34c | 41.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes | 44c | 40.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…26c0backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…0c06backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…38e2backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…9aeabacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…c753backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf6…b886backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 27c | 38.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed No | 76c | 38.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…8327backed No | 66c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…02eabacked Yes | 45c | 36.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 66c | 36.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 30.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?this page
- Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.