Movies · resolved market
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x715118f77dc7f5c2fb79976fc4bd32d93cd169b1f218b9305f0f3f57759ecd79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x237b…cdecbacked Yes | 65c | 18,650$12,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,453.91 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…0822backed Yes | 23c | 4,272$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.16 | 19 | 94.7%18 W · 1 L | +5.6wins | +0.30per pick | 65cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 48c | 3,547$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.67 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 29c | 3,506$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.22 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…d8d6backed No | 35c | 2,506$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 34c | 2,279$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.4 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 18c | 1,756$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.48 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 1,369$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.25 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 20c | 1,364$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.84 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 49c | 1,347$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.96 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 9c | 1,236$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.72 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 42c | 992.09$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.22 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 54c | 967.65$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.68 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 29c | 947.38$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.27 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 16c | 871.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.61 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 38c | 775.95$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.53 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 33c | 694.69$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.07 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 32c | 600.17$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 19c | 563.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.61 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 14c | 508.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.43 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 29c | 508.22$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.76 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 37c | 504.44$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 31c | 503.88$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.18 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.8 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 55c | 376.92$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.66 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed No | 49c | 343.84$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 29c | 343.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 25c | 339.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.47 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 71c | 307.11$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 68c | 304.03$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.19 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 282.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.11 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 63c | 278.46$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…d526backed Yes | 55c | 275.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 10c | 268$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 71c | 240.26$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 234.17$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 13c | 230.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 68c | 220.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 28c | 195.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…9a79backed No | 44c | 193.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 72c | 193$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…4282backed Yes | 30c | 192$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ad…6a6bbacked Yes | 47c | 184.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…5250backed Yes | 23c | 168$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 167$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.53 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 49c | 164.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…0318backed Yes | 63c | 149.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 67c | 149.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 65c | 148.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 44c | 143$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 32c | 141.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 64c | 135.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 65c | 135$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 74c | 127.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 68c | 124.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…f218backed Yes | 10c | 111.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +368.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed Yes | 25c | 104.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…f87cbacked Yes | 64c | 100.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…4682backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 17c | 79.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 14c | 70.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 20c | 69.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…8f47backed No | 36c | 68.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 28c | 65.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 72c | 65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 34c | 64.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 30c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 71c | 44.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80b…b047backed Yes | 61c | 44.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 47c | 42.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…2e11backed No | 35c | 40.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 30c | 37.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…df5dbacked No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…dbebbacked No | 61c | 34.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 72c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…1e17backed No | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 72c | 24.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…d8abbacked No | 76c | 17.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 69c | 15.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked No | 75c | 14.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…bff4backed No | 74c | 13.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?this page
- Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.