Movies · resolved market
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b766cee36296328c5e0cda31883a67346f62e6d4c2319611f0fb0e679c7e544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 34c | 10,156$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.92 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…d8d6backed Yes | 27c | 5,160$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 39c | 3,485$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.1 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 48c | 2,640$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.47 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 19c | 2,138$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.03 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 12c | 2,095$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.06 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 20c | 1,517$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.89 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 70c | 1,365$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.52 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 54c | 1,351$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.41 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 55c | 1,346$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.04 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,292$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.06 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Yes | 23c | 1,134$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,039$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…2ebfbacked Yes | 54c | 1,010$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 54c | 992.45$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.77 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 59c | 976.44$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.13 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 21c | 952$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…a089backed Yes | 42c | 675.05$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 61c | 653.83$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.65 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80b…b047backed Yes | 40c | 628.33$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…cdecbacked No | 77c | 624$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.35 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 58c | 612.79$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.01 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 53c | 605.43$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 48c | 575.22$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.82 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 63c | 541.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.61 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 65c | 504.38$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 32c | 462.51$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 45c | 458.12$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.5 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 18c | 456.21$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.74 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…19a4backed Yes | 79c | 446.41$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 27c | 404.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 47c | 403.75$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 62c | 393$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.09 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 50c | 387.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 68c | 355.41$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…5250backed Yes | 61c | 343.47$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.85 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 15c | 341.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 323$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…787cbacked Yes | 19c | 306.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 36c | 284.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 32c | 272.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.46 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…ed6ebacked Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 10c | 245.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.86 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 11c | 244$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.33 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…b94bbacked Yes | 60c | 242.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 7c | 238.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…4282backed Yes | 30c | 196$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 53c | 194.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 12c | 176$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 32c | 171$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 65c | 167.89$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 54c | 164.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 36c | 152$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 20c | 145.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 55c | 143$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 42c | 124.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…4651backed Yes | 24c | 111.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 10c | 109.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Yes | 60c | 100.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…72eebacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…e500backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd7…f2c8backed Yes | 32c | 99.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 33c | 92.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 42c | 89.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 13c | 86.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 19c | 78.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 77.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…51eebacked Yes | 65c | 73.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…1e17backed Yes | 40c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…8f47backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 36c | 61.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…f87cbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ad…6a6bbacked Yes | 69c | 45.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 71c | 43.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…df5dbacked No | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 73c | 30.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 69c | 25.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…9a79backed Yes | 69c | 24.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked No | 66c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 73c | 19.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 77c | 19.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 66c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 67c | 15.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 76c | 13.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?this page
- Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes won
- Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.