TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x62fb…4d60backed No32c20,696$6,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,609.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes73c14,210$10,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,773.922,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No28c4,134$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.428549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No27c2,742$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.8396947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes67c2,455$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.316446.3%76 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No26c2,308$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No28c2,306$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.692,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes72c1,837$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.8817233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No4c1,818$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.619949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No10c1,660$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4116045%72 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No31c1,488$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.875536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No27c1,350$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.8897346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yes72c1,187$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.263033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes70c1,139$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.0265535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f3…c9d2backed No32c1,040$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1250%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No28c1,007$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9627545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No21c900.49$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.432,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x580b…0522backed Yes67c895.52$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.522259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No12c815.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.494431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.441625%4 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed Yes68c672.06$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.06850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No24c653.69$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.623,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No28c550$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.272343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes73c547.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.959257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Yes67c473.43$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.235350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes67c472.53$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.933740.5%15 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No14c383$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2735944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes67c375.61$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0813839.1%54 W · 84 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No28c356.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.841,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No27c338.56$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7844156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes71c333$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5721237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes72c318.77$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3312941.9%54 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes70c312.89$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.251,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No13c310.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2145348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No21c281$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1778344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No28c280$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.46555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No28c280$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.46457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No28c280$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.46759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.788750.6%44 W · 43 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.782454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+41.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Yes70c277.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.261442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No18c261.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7614241.5%59 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes68c224.07$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.73164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+61.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes67c221.93$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3755545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No19c215.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.27954.4%43 W · 36 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes67c214.08$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.361,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No19c214$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.668463.1%53 W · 31 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes67c208.94$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9518244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Yes67c202$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.662128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No28c201.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.86245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes67c172$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.762552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No19c168$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4315240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No17c163$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.527554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No21c149.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6915628.2%44 W · 112 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Yes67c149$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.173951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf830…0454backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No35c139.22$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1479354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425a…c41ebacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No33c137.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.316443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3e…0b87backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No16c129.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2645135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes72c122.22$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.229152.7%48 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9631…a38cbacked Yes67c118$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.94944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes67c104.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357560%45 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+77.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbc0b…e3a8backed Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2820740.1%83 W · 124 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974a…8efdbacked Yes67c97.52$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.18955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No13c96.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.283056.7%17 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No31c96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.765947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfe…9257backed Yes67c88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No30c86.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4611650.9%59 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No31c83.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.91,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed No34c81.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.81428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No28c79.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.216856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes72c79.28$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1532436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No27c76.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3656849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes67c74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4288048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes67c74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.421,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…c91dbacked Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c68…6100backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes68c68.37$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.739062.2%56 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes71c65.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.989050%45 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e6…f87cbacked Yes66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No27c50.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2647649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…41a6backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2d…d310backed No32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes66c49.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.781,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe56…093dbacked Yes67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Yes67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.782470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89c3…322bbacked Yes67c43.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.393100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes74c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5738047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc030…b7e3backed Yes66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No28c37.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59753.6%52 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No32c34.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.069561.1%58 W · 37 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6006…fc8ebacked Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb297…db87backed Yes67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Yes72c29.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.