Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15ab8f9e02fe6a70438cf113bae7f9eb9544953ccc5e612754506eca12d7b293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 10c | 2,361$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.23 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.33 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 73c | 736.37$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.77 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 588.42$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.12 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 505.92$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 51c | 480.36$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.27 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 475$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 12c | 407.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.43 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 14c | 398$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 76c | 394.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 73c | 263.94$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…bcf2backed Yes | 34c | 219$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 37c | 190.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 155$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 23c | 147.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Yes | 15c | 147.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 10c | 146.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 29c | 130.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 14c | 130.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 18c | 130$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 37c | 124.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 121.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 16c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 39c | 116.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 21c | 116$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 10c | 108.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 69c | 107.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 70c | 102.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 94.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 29c | 93.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 91.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…896ebacked Yes | 76c | 85.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 77.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 69c | 74.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…6100backed No | 69c | 72.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 70.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 69c | 69.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 38c | 69.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…afb9backed No | 67c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3f…b11cbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 42c | 63.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 64c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 58c | 61.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 68c | 60.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…b68abacked No | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed No | 56c | 58.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 31c | 57.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 69c | 57.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 54c | 29.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…45e8backed No | 67c | 29.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…7fc7backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…88d2backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 65cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…70b0backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed No | 67c | 24.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 69c | 22.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 70c | 17.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.