Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82501ebfaad44594cc0896ff20f4f37837006cecd0c98331a01e50f35c227afc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 32c | 7,500$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 3,061$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 61c | 1,536$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.98 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,218$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.14 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 1,137$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.82 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 983.36$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.59 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 743.69$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.98 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed No | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 735$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 735$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 734.23$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.69 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 546.79$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 505$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 48c | 445.66$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.92 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 70c | 363$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 71c | 283.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 217$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 35c | 205$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 203.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 65c | 195$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 36c | 184.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 32c | 157$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 64c | 154$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 25c | 152$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 52c | 134$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 21c | 125.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 28c | 125.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 9c | 119.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 18c | 116.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed No | 69c | 114.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 10c | 105.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 32c | 101.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 39c | 101.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 45c | 71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 22c | 67.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Yes | 38c | 59.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 32c | 56.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 68c | 54.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…1e00backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 53c | 45.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked No | 67c | 41.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed Yes | 47c | 40.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 31c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 74c | 34.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 79c | 32.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed No | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 48c | 28.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 37c | 27.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…bd31backed No | 66c | 26.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 69c | 26.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed No | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…5ea3backed No | 69c | 20.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.