TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-08-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,597 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No76c3,310$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.651842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c2,903$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.397,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c2,064$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.0285250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c1,470$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.492,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c1,468$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.351,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes22c1,360$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.149866.3%65 W · 33 L+12.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Yes22c1,273$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No76c700$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c696.01$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.575,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9358…2bd9backed Yes21c677.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c68…6100backed No78c385.26$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.265100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes22c307.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.777350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No50c290.2$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.11650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No79c234.54$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.261,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed No75c226.28$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.572748.1%13 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick67cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Yes50c200.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+115.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes22c165.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.416445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes24c141.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3924851.6%128 W · 120 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes20c141.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2991148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213969.2%27 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes33c124.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.167455.4%41 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes24c106.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8630550.8%155 W · 150 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec7…4f0ebacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes18c97.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.954748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Yes23c78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.942540%10 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf903…de2fbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-52.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes26c66.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0955954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes26c66.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0932257.8%186 W · 136 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No78c61.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7918659.7%111 W · 75 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes32c55.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6523347.2%110 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No66c55.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9989258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes25c46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.354731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Yes22c45.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes35c42.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.83842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c3…3a1dbacked Yes26c41.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.79633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No72c40.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.312,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed No51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.12240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No77c34.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.898050%40 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No73c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4321247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x230e…6d3fbacked No75c22.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5610049%49 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No78c20.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5137049.5%183 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No69c20.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3328446.1%131 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No67c18.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.214759.9%88 W · 59 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed No77c15.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.595152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked No76c15.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.73759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed No78c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.112378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.