Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Noah FA win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3d8640b4f745c5169b1a82677d64a279b7f55dbfee6801ee846f5b15184164b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 46c | 13,670$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,379.97 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 54c | 9,222$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.04 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 52c | 3,944$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.52 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 2c | 3,333$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 54c | 2,902$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.86 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed No | 45c | 2,762$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 34c | 2,542$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.27 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 46c | 2,540$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 44c | 2,272$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 51c | 2,013$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.61 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 54c | 1,897$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.55 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,230$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 836.48$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.78 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 19c | 644.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed No | 48c | 313.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 66c | 283.89$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Yes | 22c | 136.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 55c | 134.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 55c | 128.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 110.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 53c | 100.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 14c | 97.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…6100backed Yes | 56c | 89.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 52c | 85.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked No | 45c | 85.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 54c | 82.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 45c | 67.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked Yes | 56c | 67.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 47c | 32.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…c6b6backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e15…d2c9backed Yes | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 55c | 20.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e79…22e3backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Noah FA win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC Zimbru Chişinău vs. Noah FA end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Zimbru Chişinău win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.