Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Zimbru Chişinău win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35eb2e219539a1ab0d2eb46fd5368e831068beec7cc12aece3bbd0714dc45335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 848.49$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.92 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 442$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 431.9$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 23c | 417.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 360.25$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.27 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 72c | 324$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.96 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 31c | 288.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.4 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 33c | 210.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 28c | 208.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 67c | 179.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 62c | 178.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 98.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 71c | 97.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 29c | 97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 64.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 30c | 62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 60c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 24c | 50.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 29c | 47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 60c | 44.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 69c | 30.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 42c | 30.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 79c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Zimbru Chişinău win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC Zimbru Chişinău vs. Noah FA end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Noah FA win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.