South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae912599441b611fe88d578a801d7c2af4cefc4cd8973fd0fbf708868593bdb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 45c | 3,343$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.98 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…fd69backed Under | 12c | 3,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 48c | 1,993$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.23 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aad…1155backed Under | 15c | 1,937$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 45c | 1,677$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.42 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,579$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 1,391$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.08 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…b35cbacked Under | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 823.36$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.51 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 55c | 759.11$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.6 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…1417backed Under | 10c | 680.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 61c | 652$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.28 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 14c | 638.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 55c | 457.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 40c | 362.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 55c | 361.11$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 8c | 254.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 64c | 246.77$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 59c | 227.54$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bc…d6d1backed Under | 10c | 193.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…df75backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 144.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 67c | 130$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 51c | 119.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 11c | 113.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 104$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 54c | 92.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…79c3backed Under | 41c | 86.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 41c | 84.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 59c | 83.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 39c | 70.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 29c | 60.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 59.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 46c | 57.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 56c | 52.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 59c | 51.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…9132backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 55c | 26.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Over | 79c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: CA Unión O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.