South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74d22fb9475e22cc0dfe8e39f4c4adff6eece8d39847243523707c614bd8842d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 3,867$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 76c | 3,073$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.66 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 33c | 3,025$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.95 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 49c | 2,867$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.85 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 1,545$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.92 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 67c | 745.99$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.71 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 11c | 578.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 23c | 539.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 27c | 505.16$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.79 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 28c | 504.92$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.26 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 79c | 381.14$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 28c | 372.75$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 31c | 302.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 67c | 274.2$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.71 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 18c | 266.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.17 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 33c | 170.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 37c | 149$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 34c | 146.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…85fbbacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 138$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 45c | 126.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 120$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 103.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 30c | 97.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 52c | 95.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 67c | 84.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 27c | 83.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 68c | 73.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 70c | 57.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 74c | 47.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 33c | 43.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Over | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Over | 34c | 36.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 32c | 34.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e7…090fbacked Under | 69c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Over | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: CA Unión O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.