South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x556036190fed1ed77f5517fc199f79077b44d13f3bc481f251caa95034d1179e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Uniónof CA Platense, CA Unión
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed CA Unión | 67c | 4,758$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.33 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Platense | 33c | 2,542$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Platense | 27c | 2,060$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CA Unión | 74c | 551.04$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.89 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed CA Platense | 34c | 201.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed CA Platense | 39c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed CA Platense | 33c | 68.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed CA Unión | 74c | 67.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked CA Unión | 68c | 59.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked CA Platense | 29c | 57.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked CA Platense | 39c | 53.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed CA Platense | 33c | 47.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed CA Unión | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked CA Unión | 80c | 27.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed CA Unión | 71c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed CA Unión | 74c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)this page
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: CA Unión O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.