South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc47ef22915aaf0f7f9e4eb7540b0dc11b250c7793877ff4d27678a90830beeaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 61c | 2,222$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.31 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 40c | 2,077$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.56 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 4c | 1,567$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 5c | 1,473$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.88 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 1,054$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 22c | 1,004$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 67c | 960$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.64 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 34c | 882.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.34 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 819$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.84 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 25c | 619.45$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.76 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 61c | 591.7$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.97 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 66c | 583.96$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.41 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 79c | 554.08$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 416.71$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.78 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 26c | 385.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Over | 16c | 357.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.75 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 24c | 317.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 23c | 308.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 71c | 293.5$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.67 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 48c | 206.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 49c | 204.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 35c | 167.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 79c | 145$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 36c | 135$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 51c | 132.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 52c | 129.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 89.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 39c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 34c | 43.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 61c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Over | 49c | 22.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Over | 63c | 20.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 68c | 17.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 77c | 14.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: CA Unión O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Unión: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.