Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30bcfcd07baa9a33b63bb28465a20e9e8959b3d87f6113437776d773f45b1055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 57c | 11,529$6,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,604.06 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 4,750$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 23c | 3,640$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.79 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 3,214$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 2,023$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.85 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 50c | 1,802$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…980bbacked Under | 5c | 1,748$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 63c | 1,457$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.6 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 67c | 1,408$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.11 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 26c | 1,350$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…4191backed Over | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.54 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 61c | 994.93$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.84 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 58c | 724.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.49 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…6b15backed Under | 14c | 639.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Over | 80c | 625.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 14c | 570.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Under | 3c | 507.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…33e2backed Under | 4c | 431.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 427.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 40c | 349.07$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.34 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 12c | 280$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 43c | 262$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.34 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…b271backed Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 9c | 252$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 45c | 249.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 66c | 246$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 10c | 239.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 20c | 221.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 13c | 211$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 43c | 203.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.26 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…8807backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…aa4fbacked Under | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Over | 44c | 193.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 20c | 177$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…9357backed Under | 9c | 177$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 15c | 157.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 12c | 156.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 137.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 78c | 124.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 38c | 123.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Over | 14c | 110.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 68c | 103.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 70c | 100.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…7c71backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 53c | 62.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 52.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 38c | 45.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…eb51backed Over | 47c | 42.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Over | 47c | 42.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…1e00backed Over | 47c | 42.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 51c | 37.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 62c | 24.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 1.5this page
- IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: Rosenborg BK O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: IK Start (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.