TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,812 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over5c4,759$234 inLost-$234.387,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over9c2,407$226 inLost-$226.335,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over13c1,740$222 inLost-$221.592,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over21c1,389$296 inLost-$296.4987745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over32c1,135$363 inLost-$363.210031%31 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over33c303.03$100 inLost-$1009247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over18c209.56$39 inLost-$38.542,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over7c194.57$14 inLost-$13.6246044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over7c157.25$11 inLost-$11.4555954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf651…53a1backed Under74c132.19$98 inWon+$34.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf80…5993backed Under67c119.4$80 inWon+$39.4988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over29c75.6$22 inLost-$21.610436.5%38 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under73c66$48 inWon+$17.825637.5%21 W · 35 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over34c58.82$20 inLost-$2022062.3%137 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over34c58.82$20 inLost-$2032051.9%166 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over27c55.35$15 inLost-$1514628.1%41 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Under67c52.24$35 inWon+$17.244341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under66c50$33 inWon+$1726051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over34c44.12$15 inLost-$159443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Under70c42.87$30 inWon+$12.873571.4%25 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over34c42$14 inLost-$14.282540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44eb…48c6backed Under66c20.34$13 inWon+$6.921877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed Under73c16.88$12 inWon+$4.643764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8095…d7abbacked Under67c15$10 inWon+$4.951163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd34…020ebacked Under80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.