Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Debreceni VSC win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b48903e04f75938cf8259f35c3e1cb8273015ff294b463da57d152c14ef541f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad16…6de3backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 2,153$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.49 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 1,541$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.41 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 1,495$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.94 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 24c | 771.79$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 27c | 514.81$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 495.81$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 425.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 74c | 417.74$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 400.83$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 318.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 276.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 27c | 267.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 204.76$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 74c | 134.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed No | 74c | 100.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 74c | 98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 75c | 93.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 75c | 65.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 24c | 59.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 77c | 41.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 26c | 41.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 79c | 16.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 74c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Debreceni VSC win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.