TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,706 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Over53c9,438$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.4131349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under61c7,071$4,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.272,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c6,916$3,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.628,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c3,217$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.425,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over37c2,730$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.5275240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over37c2,459$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.781,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under59c2,341$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.471643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under57c1,792$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.561,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c1,656$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.282,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over61c1,320$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over43c1,256$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50420046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under58c902.57$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.81,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Over32c881.16$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.921020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under61c846.51$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.565851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over46c694.22$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.21,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over58c675.15$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.5919155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under74c535.15$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.648657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over43c474.95$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.899651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over41c449.32$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2212940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under60c440.02$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.212450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over36c400$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14518631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under54c391.27$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.8355250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over38c344.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.746449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked Over61c328.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005164.7%33 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over40c325.22$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.091,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14112338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Over35c277.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.226735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under51c277.07$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13695155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under60c213.03$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0814753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Over35c207$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2913748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under58c165.46$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7611457%65 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2913167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under53c155.31$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6413850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Over37c150$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.55234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Under59c141.83$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.152161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.311872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under47c112.77$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.777549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Over41c109.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over36c108.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3715552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.741741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b7…bc65backed Under62c88.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over44c71.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.619437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over26c68.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.011,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed Under76c65.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.391266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under58c64.42$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.051,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under68c63.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9769453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Over43c60.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under59c57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.372,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over59c50.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over31c50.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0572058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under61c49.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.451442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over39c49.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.451,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under56c48.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4889846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Under62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Over38c47.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.944757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c46.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.493,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under72c43.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1364633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1921752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Over41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.414149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over41c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.751,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over30c34.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4420665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over42c34.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4835046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over37c33.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6467548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ce…15febacked Under59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under53c32.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3419164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over35c29.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.494930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under56c28.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7310766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Over40c27.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.814841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under60c27.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8142462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under59c25.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.456168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4db…e401backed Over42c23.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick55cpaid-67.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under79c20.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3251945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5caa…4831backed Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under58c17.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4270055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Under76c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.818775.9%66 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.