South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x033349994559f88456a0a073628eaac3ac0b38af30d92688388112e694ce6752
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 31c | 1,688$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.3 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 18c | 938.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 77c | 869.87$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 24c | 790.46$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 753.55$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 70c | 740$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 48c | 719.69$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.13 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 52c | 602.2$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.57 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 573.1$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.12 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 76c | 397.23$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed Under | 24c | 375$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 79c | 352.86$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…011ebacked Under | 35c | 266.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 256.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 47c | 221.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 52c | 198.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…473ebacked Over | 48c | 165.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 142.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 135.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 67c | 133.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Over | 78c | 103.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Over | 65c | 92.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 24c | 87.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 46c | 87.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 51c | 47.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 29c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 49c | 37.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 47c | 34.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 78c | 29.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 60c | 17.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 75c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 5.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.