South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d91cc6c32b7be15ad065d3b9691e533b58578d9829a6edff7986b9071550614
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,377$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.35 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 1,110$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.07 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 47c | 1,066$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 49c | 974.96$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.27 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 28c | 773.26$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 50c | 606.37$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.91 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 59c | 501.09$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.3 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 46c | 478.26$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 387.65$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 31c | 359.18$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 270.83$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 224.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 33c | 218.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 164.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 51c | 148.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 135.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 50c | 112.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 50c | 100.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c0…ca02backed Yes | 51c | 95.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 31c | 84.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +10.8wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 67c | 74.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 29c | 69.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 65c | 67.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 43c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 49c | 59.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee41…2e5cbacked No | 76c | 57.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 72c | 52.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…73a1backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 29c | 43.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 459 | 46.8%215 W · 244 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 64c | 37.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 51c | 27.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed No | 51c | 20.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 66c | 16.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: O/U 5.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.