South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabc08249e0f5a47b082015a1e98597a4f0200c45cb3bd5080c23dd88c96d7df6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 4,943$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.91 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 50c | 3,402$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.28 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 1,751$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.64 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 53c | 933.62$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.8 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 887.49$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.94 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 25c | 817.94$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.91 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 45c | 651.41$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.88 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 67c | 615$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.95 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Under | 52c | 593.9$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.83 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 18c | 515.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Under | 43c | 490.07$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 17c | 227$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 72c | 189$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 51c | 143.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 16c | 129.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 13c | 99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 18c | 91.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 76.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 80c | 71.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 17c | 70.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 27c | 64.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 61c | 61.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 20c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 52c | 46.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…8fd7backed Under | 58c | 35.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Over | 48c | 32.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 20.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 62c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: CF Monterrey O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: CF Monterrey O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: Club Necaxa O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)CF Monterrey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.