TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c15,796$9,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,166.348,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under51c14,666$7,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,521.453036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under55c14,201$7,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,880.082,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under31c11,613$3,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,632.529037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over36c6,437$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,13620036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39f…8d53backed Under79c6,164$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over55c5,500$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,47514829.7%44 W · 104 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c5,179$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.915,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over70c4,977$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.623044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under9c4,408$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.8811025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over59c4,396$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.2149136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over78c4,148$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over74c4,125$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.681,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over33c3,199$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.9575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under41c2,307$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.762441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over69c2,071$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.8529047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under31c2,060$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.718657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over40c1,951$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.1912156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under41c1,891$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.731,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under41c1,853$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.961,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over59c1,851$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.7328940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under16c1,742$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.523935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over70c1,672$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.9819053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c1,653$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.841,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over46c1,452$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.4826835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c1,418$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.9911059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over50c1,164$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.1712940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under59c922.58$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.6995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under70c725.57$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0421752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over46c721.38$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.4146449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over75c692.1$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.651,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8690…5875backed Over75c669.67$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under9c651.84$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.917440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over19c617.26$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9810618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under56c598.24$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.8612338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under66c516.28$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.1155250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.472250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over70c499.75$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9919437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under5c434$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0845746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over45c419.72$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3517051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over75c384.22$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.981,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8c…191cbacked Over32c369.04$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.042254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over39c352.1$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.7819135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed Under65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over65c281$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.921338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over48c262.3$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6415552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under4c259.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2818426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under42c242.51$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0718446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under47c212.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Over30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402520%5 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3113833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under54c190.14$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over50c189.09$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.564281%34 W · 8 L+12.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+66.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under55c187$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1672058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under54c180.53$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4889645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over59c170.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.155248.1%25 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under7c166.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over45c164$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.26744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under27c155.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.236230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under14c140$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205834.5%20 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over66c136.66$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over60c125.32$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1376951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4825345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Under42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under57c111.41$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8526465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Over76c111$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.046647%31 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over24c109.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.622,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over49c107.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6912545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over30c100.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2629245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under47c100.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.865054%27 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccb9…4718backed Under70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.458247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under37c92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.915143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c91.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.522,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over66c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.644843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under60c86.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0663061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over44c85.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.016142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under68c85.25$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7815364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over49c84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8421765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over51c83.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4964633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over23c78.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.369026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over50c76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3215768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over71c74.21$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5216864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed6c…4eb1backed Over60c72.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.941580%12 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+86.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1372…4ce0backed Under69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502572%18 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.975046%23 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over19c66.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5457540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under43c60.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.914643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3335958.8%211 W · 148 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over59c56.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.829551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under41c56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9678756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under66c55.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8611861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd5…eae1backed Over22c55.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+195.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over45c53.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.593246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.