South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e40418aa2fe9e8960cf0eb4a0ad4e283d90210584c4c26f0e18dd6c14b214d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Yes | 63c | 4,147$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.52 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 2,481$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.92 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 61c | 864.72$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 851.03$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 56c | 689.94$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.65 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed No | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 513.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 468.24$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 40c | 364.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes | 62c | 296.77$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 40c | 171$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 39c | 123.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 91.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…4bfabacked Yes | 66c | 76.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 73.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 34c | 55.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed No | 54c | 55.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed No | 42c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 37c | 29.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9583…fa5dbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 15.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: CF Monterrey O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: CF Monterrey O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: Club Necaxa O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)CF Monterrey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.