South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c4d85869d70a8977ae1e7dafe2f85c56c33d5776d1c667abf367765c2ce018c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 7,364$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 5,171$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 75c | 4,871$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.66 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 22c | 4,316$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.82 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 2,598$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.4 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 22c | 2,154$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.25 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 69c | 1,738$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.84 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 18c | 1,233$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.48 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 37c | 978.72$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.34 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 15c | 644.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 23c | 586.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.63 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 25c | 565.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 17c | 508.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 5c | 500.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 22c | 490.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 14c | 396.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 361.68$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 15c | 351.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 18c | 229.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 71c | 208.18$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 35c | 197.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 65c | 180.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 37c | 180.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Over | 24c | 179.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 10c | 163$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 26c | 162.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 19c | 156.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 18c | 135$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 35c | 133.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 12c | 133.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 8c | 126.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 19c | 111.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 35c | 108.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 100.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 65c | 89.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Over | 21c | 86.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 77c | 73.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…901bbacked Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 62c | 55.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 65c | 49.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 35c | 39.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 39c | 38.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 62c | 31.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: CF Monterrey O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: CF Monterrey O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: Club Necaxa O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)CF Monterrey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.