South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0349d3a4da820a04c64e7d0878f6fb7582c6763fe3c1b03432c8da0fa30cc5df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 9c | 3,116$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.54 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 2,481$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.53 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 2,150$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,997$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.49 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,513$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 1,456$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.68 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 5c | 799.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 79c | 444.77$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 402.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 29c | 285.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 263.94$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 244.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 70c | 215.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes | 10c | 193$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 190$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 31c | 158.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 103.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 64c | 81.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 58.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…29e4backed Yes | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 49.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 70c | 23.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 68c | 22.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 71c | 22.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 72c | 20.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?No won
- Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-07-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.